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How predictable was Greatest Royal Rumble?

WWE.com

Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.

Six different staff members predicted the winners for the matches that took place at Greatest Royal Rumble (Fri., April 27, 2018) from Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.

The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the full match list. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction and the number "0" is an incorrect prediction. The rightmost column contains the overall predictability rating for every match, and the very last row shows the overall accuracy of each individual staff member.

The line for the Lesnar’s match can be interpreted as follows: “2 out of 6 predictions for Brock Lesnar’s match were correct, which is a predictability rating of 33.3%.”

Staff Predictions for Greatest Royal Rumble

Match Geno Sean Cain Rev Kyle Pete Total
Match Geno Sean Cain Rev Kyle Pete Total
John Cena vs. Triple H 0 1 0 0 0 0 16.7
Cedric Alexander vs. Kalisto 1 1 1 1 1 1 100.0
Wyatt & Hardy vs. The Bar 1 0 1 1 1 1 83.3
Jeff Hardy vs. Jinder Mahal 1 0 1 1 1 1 83.3
Bludgeon Brothers vs. Usos 1 0 1 1 1 1 83.3
Rollins vs. Balor vs. Miz vs. Joe 1 0 0 0 1 1 50.0
AJ Styles vs. Shinsuke Nakamura 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Undertaker vs. Rusev 1 1 1 1 1 1 100.0
Brock Lesnar vs. Roman Reigns 1 1 0 0 0 0 33.3
Greatest Royal Rumble Match 0 0 1 0 1 0 33.3
70.0 40.0 60.0 50.0 70.0 60.0 58.3

These numbers add up to 35 correct predictions and 25 incorrect predictions, which means the overall predictability rating for Greatest Royal Rumble is 58.3%.

This increases the overall predictability rating for 2018 WWE PPVs from 52.2% up to 53.6% (142 correct versus 123 incorrect predictions). For comparison's sake, the overall predictability rating for 2015 WWE PPVs was 63.4%, in 2016 it was 61.1%, and in 2017 it was 61.6%.

The staff of Cageside Seats had a decent night with predicting the winners at Greatest Royal Rumble. How did you fare, Cagesiders?

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