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How predictable was No Mercy 2017?

Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.

Five different staff members predicted the winners for the matches that took place at No Mercy 2017 (Sun., Sept. 24, 2017) from the Staples Center in Los Angeles, California. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.

The Cageside Seats match preview articles for No Mercy 2017 also offered polls allowing Cagesiders the chance to weigh in with their predictions.

The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the full match list. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction, the number "0" is an incorrect prediction, and no prediction data was available for the empty spaces. The rightmost column contains the overall predictability rating for every match, and the very last row shows the overall accuracy of each individual staff member.

The line for Neville’s match can be interpreted as follows: “2 out of 6 predictions for Neville’s match were correct, which is a predictability rating of 33.3%.”

Staff Predictions for No Mercy 2017

Match Geno Sean Cain Rev Stef Polls Total
Match Geno Sean Cain Rev Stef Polls Total
Crews vs. Elias 0 1 1 0 1 60.0
Miz vs. Jordan 1 1 0 1 0 1 66.7
Balor vs. Wyatt 1 0 0 1 0 1 50.0
Ambrose & Rollins vs. The Bar 1 0 1 1 1 1 83.3
Women's Fatal 5-Way 0 0 1 0 1 1 50.0
Cena vs. Reigns 1 1 1 0 1 1 83.3
Neville vs. Enzo 0 0 1 1 0 0 33.3
Lesnar vs. Strowman 0 1 1 0 1 1 66.7
50.0 50.0 75.0 50.0 62.5 85.7 61.7

These numbers add up to 29 correct predictions and 18 incorrect predictions, which means the overall predictability rating for No Mercy 2017 is 61.7%.

This increases the overall predictability rating for 2017 WWE PPVs from 57.9% up to 58.2% (320 correct versus 230 incorrect predictions). For comparison's sake, the overall predictability rating for 2015 WWE PPVs was 63.4% and the for 2016 PPVs it was 61.1%.

The staff of Cageside Seats had a good night with predicting the winners at No Mercy 2017. How did you fare, Cagesiders?

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