Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.
Five different staff members predicted the winners for the matches that took place at Backlash 2017 (Sun., May 21, 2017) from the Allstate Arena in Chicago, Illinois. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.
The Cageside Seats match preview articles for Backlash 2017 also offered polls allowing Cagesiders the chance to weigh in with their predictions.
The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the full match list. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction and the number "0" is an incorrect prediction. The rightmost column contains the overall predictability rating for every match, and the very last row shows the overall accuracy of each individual staff member.
The line for Jinder Mahal’s match can be interpreted as follows: “1 out of 6 predictions for Mahal’s match were correct, which is a predictability rating of 16.7%.”
Staff Predictions for Backlash 2017
|Dillinger vs. English||1||1||1||1||1||1||100.0|
|Nakamura vs. Ziggler||1||1||1||1||1||1||100.0|
|Usos vs. Breezango||0||1||1||0||1||1||66.7|
|Zayn vs. Corbin||0||0||0||0||0||0||0.0|
|Women's tag match||1||1||0||1||1||0||66.7|
|Owens vs. Styles||1||1||1||1||0||0||66.7|
|Harper vs. Rowan||0||0||1||1||1||1||66.7|
|Orton vs. Mahal||0||0||0||0||0||1||16.7|
These numbers add up to 29 correct predictions and 19 incorrect predictions, which means the overall predictability rating for Backlash 2017 is 60.4%.
This raises the overall predictability rating for 2017 WWE PPVs from 57.2% up to 57.7% (176 correct versus 129 incorrect predictions). For comparison's sake, the overall predictability rating for 2015 WWE PPVs was 63.4% and the for 2016 PPVs it was 61.1%.
The staff of Cageside Seats had a decent night with predicting the winners at Backlash 2017. How did you fare, Cagesiders?