Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.
Five different staff members predicted the winners for the matches that took place at WrestleMania 33 (Sun., April 2, 2017) from Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.
The Cageside Seats match preview articles for WrestleMania 33 also offered polls allowing Cagesiders the chance to weigh in with their predictions.
The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the full match list. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction and the number "0" is an incorrect prediction. The rightmost column contains the overall predictability rating for every match, and the very last row shows the overall accuracy of each individual staff member.
The Raw tag team ladder match was omitted from these results because the match was significantly changed during the show. It could certainly be argued that the addition of Jeff and Matt Hardy to that match was one of the peak moments of unpredictability for the night.
The line for Bray Wyatt’s match can be interpreted as follows: “4 out of 6 predictions for Wyatt’s match were correct, which is a predictability rating of 66.7%.”
Staff Predictions for WrestleMania 33
|Neville vs. Austin Aries||1||0||0||0||0||0||16.7|
|Andre the Giant Battle Royal||0||0||0||0||0||0||0.0|
|Dean Ambrose vs. Baron Corbin||0||0||1||1||1||0||50.0|
|Shane McMahon vs. AJ Styles||1||1||0||1||1||1||83.3|
|Chris Jericho vs. Kevin Owens||0||0||1||1||1||1||66.7|
|Bayley vs. Sasha vs. Charlotte vs. Nia||1||1||1||0||1||0||66.7|
|Cena & Nikki vs. Miz & Maryse||1||0||1||1||1||1||83.3|
|Seth Rollins vs. Triple H||1||1||1||1||1||1||100.0|
|Bray Wyatt vs. Randy Orton||1||1||1||1||0||0||66.7|
|Goldberg vs. Brock Lesnar||1||1||1||1||0||1||83.3|
|SmackDown women's championship||1||0||0||1||1||1||66.7|
|Undertaker vs. Roman Reigns||1||1||1||1||1||0||83.3|
These numbers add up to 46 correct predictions and 26 incorrect predictions, which means the overall predictability rating for WrestleMania 33 is 63.9%. For comparison's sake, the overall predictability rating for 2015 WWE PPVs was 63.4% and the for 2016 PPVs it was 61.1%.
The pre-show is where most of the incorrect predictions occurred; the pre-show had a predictability rating of 22.2%, compared to 77.8% for the main card.
The staff of Cageside Seats had a decent night with predicting the winners at WrestleMania 33. How did you fare, Cagesiders?