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How predictable was WWE Fastlane 2017?

Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.

Five different staff members predicted the winners for the matches that took place at Fastlane 2017 (Sun., Mar. 5, 2017) from the Bradley Center in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.

The Cageside Seats match preview articles for Fastlane 2017 also offered polls allowing Cagesiders the chance to weigh in with their predictions.

Cesaro’s match and Big Show’s match are not included in this data because those matches were not advertised ahead of time.

The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the full match list. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction and the number "0" is an incorrect prediction. The rightmost column contains the overall predictability rating for every match, and the very last row shows the overall accuracy of each individual staff member.

The line for Tozawa’s match can be interpreted as follows: “5 out of 6 predictions for Tozawa’s match were correct, which is a predictability rating of 83.3%.”

Staff Predictions for Fastlane 2017

Match Geno Sean Cain Kyle Rev Polls Total
Match Geno Sean Cain Kyle Rev Polls Total
Tozawa & Swann vs. Kendrick & Dar 1 0 1 1 1 1 83.3
Sami Zayn vs. Samoa Joe 1 1 1 1 1 1 100
Gallows & Anderson vs. Enzo & Cass 1 1 1 1 1 1 100
Sasha Banks vs. Nia Jax 1 0 1 0 1 0 50
Neville vs. Jack Gallagher 1 0 1 1 0 1 66.7
Roman Reigns vs. Braun Strowman 0 1 1 1 0 1 66.7
Bayley vs. Charlotte Flair 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kevin Owens vs. Goldberg 0 0 1 1 1 1 66.7
Total 62.5 37.5 87.5 75 62.5 75 66.7

These numbers add up to 32 correct predictions and 16 incorrect predictions, which means the overall predictability rating for Fastlane 2017 is 66.7%. For comparison's sake, the overall predictability rating for 2015 WWE PPVs was 63.4% and the for 2016 PPVs it was 61.1%.

The staff of Cageside Seats did pretty well with predicting the winners at Fastlane 2017. How did you fare, Cagesiders?

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