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Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.
Five different staff members predicted the winners for the matches that took place at Royal Rumble 2017 (Sun., Jan. 29, 2017) from the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.
The Cageside Seats match preview articles for Royal Rumble 2017 also offered polls allowing Cagesiders the chance to weigh in with their predictions.
The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the full match list. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction and the number "0" is an incorrect prediction. The rightmost column contains the overall predictability rating for every match, and the very last row shows the overall accuracy of each individual staff member.
The line for Cesaro’s match can be interpreted as follows: “4 out of 6 predictions for Cesaro’s match were correct, which is a predictability rating of 66.7%.”
Staff Predictions for Royal Rumble 2017
| Match | Geno | Sean | Cain | Kyle | Rev | Polls | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match | Geno | Sean | Cain | Kyle | Rev | Polls | Total |
| SD 6-woman tag | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 66.7 |
| Cesaro & Sheamus vs. The Club | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 66.7 |
| Sasha Banks vs. Nia Jax | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 66.7 |
| Charlotte Flair vs. Bayley | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100.0 |
| Kevin Owens vs. Roman Reigns | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 |
| Rich Swann vs. Neville | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100.0 |
| AJ Styles vs. John Cena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 66.7 |
| Royal Rumble match | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Total | 62.5 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
These numbers add up to 30 correct predictions and 18 incorrect predictions, which means the overall predictability rating for Royal Rumble 2017 is 62.5%. For comparison's sake, the overall predictability rating for 2015 WWE PPVs was 63.4% and the for 2016 PPVs it was 61.1%.
The staff of Cageside Seats had a decent performance in predicting the winners at Royal Rumble 2017. How did you fare, Cagesiders?