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How predictable was WWE Elimination Chamber 2017?

Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.

Five different staff members predicted the winners for the matches that took place at Elimination Chamber 2017 (Sun., Feb. 12, 2017) from the Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix, Arizona. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.

The Cageside Seats match preview articles for Elimination Chamber 2017 also offered polls allowing Cagesiders the chance to weigh in with their predictions. The prediction entry for the polls on Natalya’s match was omitted from this study because there was no poll option for “Double Countout.”

The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the full match list. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction and the number "0" is an incorrect prediction. The rightmost column contains the overall predictability rating for every match, and the very last row shows the overall accuracy of each individual staff member.

The line for Ziggler’s match can be interpreted as follows: “2 out of 6 predictions for Ziggler’s match were correct, which is a predictability rating of 33.3%.”

Staff Predictions for Elimination Chamber 2017

Match Geno Sean Cain Kyle Rev Polls Total
Match Geno Sean Cain Kyle Rev Polls Total
Becky Lynch vs. Mickie James 1 0 1 0 1 0 50.0
Crews & Kalisto vs. Dolph Ziggler 1 0 1 0 0 0 33.3
Tag Team Turmoil 1 0 1 0 1 1 66.7
Nikki Bella vs. Natalya 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Luke Harper vs. Randy Orton 1 1 1 1 1 1 100.0
Alexa Bliss vs. Naomi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Elimination Chamber match 1 1 1 0 1 1 83.3
Total 71.4 28.6 71.4 14.3 57.1 50.0 48.8

Luke Harper versus Randy Orton was so easy to predict that even Kyle Decker got it right!

These numbers add up to 20 correct predictions and 21 incorrect predictions, which means the overall predictability rating for Elimination Chamber 2017 is 48.8%. For comparison's sake, the overall predictability rating for 2015 WWE PPVs was 63.4% and the for 2016 PPVs it was 61.1%.

The staff of Cageside Seats struggled with predicting the winners at Elimination Chamber 2017. How did you fare, Cagesiders?

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