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How predictable was Survivor Series 2017?

Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.

Five different staff members predicted the winners for the matches that took place at Survivor Series 2017 (Sun., Nov. 19, 2017) live from the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.

The Cageside Seats match preview articles for Survivor Series 2017 also offered polls allowing Cagesiders the chance to weigh in with their predictions.

The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the full match list. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction and the number "0" is an incorrect prediction. The rightmost column contains the overall predictability rating for every match, and the very last row shows the overall accuracy of each individual staff member.

Two pre-show matches were omitted (Hardy vs. Elias, Breezango vs. Owens & Zayn) because they were not advertised early enough for staff to make predictions.

The line for Lesnar’s match can be interpreted as follows: “5 out of 6 predictions for Lesnar’s match were correct, which is a predictability rating of 83.3%.”

Staff Predictions for Survivor Series 2017

Match Geno Sean Cain Rev Kyle Polls Total
Match Geno Sean Cain Rev Kyle Polls Total
Enzo vs. Kalisto 1 1 1 1 1 1 100.0
The Shield vs. New Day 1 1 1 1 1 1 100.0
Women's Elimination Match 1 0 1 0 1 1 66.7
The Miz vs. Corbin 0 1 1 0 1 0 50.0
The Bar vs. The Usos 1 1 0 1 1 1 83.3
Bliss vs. Flair 0 1 1 0 1 1 66.7
Lesnar vs. Styles 1 1 1 0 1 1 83.3
Men's Elimination Match 0 1 0 1 1 1 66.7
62.5 87.5 75.0 50.0 100.0 87.5 77.1

These numbers add up to 37 correct predictions and 11 incorrect predictions, which means the overall predictability rating for Survivor Series 2017 is 77.1%.

This increases the overall predictability rating for 2017 WWE PPVs from 59.8% up to 61.0% (416 correct versus 266 incorrect predictions). For comparison's sake, the overall predictability rating for 2015 WWE PPVs was 63.4% and the for 2016 PPVs it was 61.1%.

The staff of Cageside Seats had a great night with predicting the winners at Survivor Series 2017. How did you fare, Cagesiders?

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