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How predictable was TLC 2017?

Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.

Six different staff members predicted the winners for the matches that took place at TLC 2017 (Sun., Oct. 22, 2017) from the Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.

The Cageside Seats match preview articles for TLC 2017 also offered polls allowing Cagesiders the chance to weigh in with their predictions.

The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the full match list. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction, the number "0" is an incorrect prediction, and no prediction data was available for the empty spaces The rightmost column contains the overall predictability rating for every match, and the very last row shows the overall accuracy of each individual staff member.

Jason Jordan versus Elias was not included in these predictions because it was not advertised ahead of time.

The line for Kalisto’s match can be interpreted as follows: “5 out of 6 predictions for Kalisto’s match were correct, which is a predictability rating of 83.3%.”

Staff Predictions for TLC 2017

Match Geno Sean Cain Rev Kyle Tommy Polls Total
Match Geno Sean Cain Rev Kyle Tommy Polls Total
Banks vs. Fox 1 0 1 1 1 1 83.3
Asuka vs. Emma 1 1 1 1 1 1 100.0
Swann & Alexander vs. Gallagher & Kendrick 0 0 1 0 1 0 33.3
Bliss vs. James 1 0 1 0 0 1 50.0
Kalisto vs. Enzo 1 1 1 0 1 1 83.3
Styles vs. Balor 1 1 0 1 0 1 66.7
Angle & Shield vs. Team Miz 1 1 1 1 1 1 100.0
85.7 40.0 100.0 42.9 85.7 50.0 85.7 73.8

These numbers add up to 31 correct predictions and 11 incorrect predictions, which means the overall predictability rating for TLC 2017 is 73.8%.

This increases the overall predictability rating for 2017 WWE PPVs from 58.8% up to 59.8% (379 correct versus 255 incorrect predictions). For comparison's sake, the overall predictability rating for 2015 WWE PPVs was 63.4% and the for 2016 PPVs it was 61.1%.

The staff of Cageside Seats had a terrific night with predicting the winners at TLC 2017. How did you fare, Cagesiders?

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