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How predictable was WWE Money in the Bank 2016?

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WWE.com

Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.

Five different staff members predicted the winners for eight of the matches that took place at Money in the Bank 2016. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.

The Cageside Seats match preview articles for Money in the Bank 2016 also offered polls allowing Cagesiders the chance to weigh in with their predictions.

The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the winner(s) of each match. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction and the number "0" is an incorrect prediction.

Geno Sean Cain Kyle Rev Polls
New Day 0 0 1 1 1 1
Corbin 0 0 1 1 1 1
Charlotte/Dana 0 1 1 0 1 0
Crews 0 0 1 0 1 1
Styles 1 0 0 1 1 0
Ambrose 0 0 0 1 1 1
Rusev 1 1 1 1 1 1
Rollins 0 0 0 0 0 0

Here are the predictability ratings for each match. The entry for Ziggler's match can be interpreted as follows: "4 out of 6 predictions for Ziggler's match were correct, which is a success rate of 66.7%."

  • 100.0%: Rusev vs Titus O'Neil (6-0)
  • 66.7%: Tag Team Championship Fatal 4-Way (4-2)
  • 66.7%: Dolph Ziggler vs Baron Corbin (4-2)
  • 50.0%: Charlotte and Dana vs Natalya and Becky (3-3)
  • 50.0%: Apollo Crews vs Sheamus (3-3)
  • 50.0%: John Cena vs AJ Styles (3-3)
  • 50.0%: Money in the Bank Ladder Match (3-3)
  • 0.0%: Roman Reigns vs Seth Rollins (0-6)

These numbers add up to 26 correct predictions and 22 incorrect predictions, which means the predictability rating for Money in the Bank 2016 is 54.2%. This is lower than the overall 2015 predictability rating of 63.4%, and this doesn't even take into account the shock factor of the Ambrose cash-in.

Here are the individual results for each staff member who offered predictions:

  • 87.5%: ReverendKain (7-1)
  • 62.5%: Cain A. Knight (5-3)
  • 62.5%: Kyle Decker (5-3)
  • 62.5%: CSS Match Preview Polls (5-3)
  • 25.0%: Geno Mrosko (2-6)
  • 25.0%: Sean Rueter (2-6)

The staff of Cageside Seats struggled a bit with predicting the winners at Money in the Bank 2016. How did you fare, Cagesiders?