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How predictable was WWE Roadblock: End of the Line?

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WWE.com

Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.

Five different staff members predicted the winners for the matches that took place at Roadblock: End of the Line (Sun., Dec. 18, 2016) from the PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.

The Cageside Seats match preview articles for Roadblock: End of the Line also offered polls allowing Cagesiders the chance to weigh in with their predictions.

The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the full match list. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction and the number "0" is an incorrect prediction.

Staff predictions for Roadblock: End of the Line

Match Geno Sean Cain Kyle Rev Polls
Match Geno Sean Cain Kyle Rev Polls
Big Cass vs. Rusev 0 1 0 0 0 0
New Day vs. Cesaro & Sheamus 1 0 0 1 1 1
Sami Zayn vs. Braun Strowman 0 1 0 1 0 0
Seth Rollins vs. Chris Jericho 1 1 1 1 1 1
Swann vs. Perkins vs. Kendrick 1 1 1 1 1 1
Sasha Banks vs. Charlotte Flair 1 0 1 1 0 0
Kevin Owens vs. Roman Reigns 1 1 1 1 1 1

Here are the predictability ratings for each match. The entry for the New Day’s match can be interpreted as follows: "4 out of 6 predictions for the New Day's match were correct, which is a success rate of 66.6%."

  • 100.0%: Kevin Owens vs. Roman Reigns (6-0)
  • 100.0%: Swann vs. Perkins vs. Kendrick (6-0)
  • 100.0%: Seth Rollins vs. Chris Jericho (6-0)
  • 66.7%: New Day vs. Cesaro & Sheamus (4-2)
  • 50.0%: Sasha Banks vs. Charlotte Flair (3-3)
  • 33.3%: Sami Zayn vs. Braun Strowman (2-4)
  • 16.7%: Big Cass vs. Rusev (1-5)

These numbers add up to 28 correct predictions and 14 incorrect predictions, which means the predictability rating for Roadblock: End of the Line is 66.7%. This raises the overall predictability rating for 2016 WWE PPVs from 60.7% up to 61.1% (424 correct versus 270 incorrect predictions). For comparison's sake, the overall predictability rating for 2015 WWE PPVs was 63.4%.

Here are the individual results for each staff member who offered predictions:

  • 85.7%: Kyle Decker (6-1)
  • 71.4%: Geno Mrosko (5-2)
  • 71.4%: Sean Rueter (5-2)
  • 57.1%: ReverendKain (4-3)
  • 57.1%: Cain A. Knight (4-3)
  • 57.1%: CSS Match Preview Polls (4-3)

The staff of Cageside Seats did pretty well with predicting the winners at Roadblock: End of the Line. How did you fare, Cagesiders?