:format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/52137259/143_TLC_12042016jg_0804__e631c568bc9829646bfcd364a01ba158.0.jpeg)
Every time a WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event is on the horizon, the staff of Cageside Seats offers predictions for all of the advertised matches on the card. This data can be used to calculate a simple predictability rating for any event.
Five different staff members predicted the winners for the matches that took place at TLC 2016 (Sun., Dec. 4, 2016) from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Staff members received credit for a correct prediction of the winner of any match, even if they were wrong about the context of that victory.
The Cageside Seats match preview articles for TLC 2016 also offered polls allowing Cagesiders the chance to weigh in with their predictions.
The following chart contains the prediction results for every match. The leftmost column includes the winner(s) of each match. Below each staff member's name, the number "1" is a correct prediction and the number "0" is an incorrect prediction.
| Geno | Sean | Cain | Kyle | Rev | Polls | |
| Orton, Wyatt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Nikki Bella | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| The Miz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Baron Corbin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Alexa Bliss | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AJ Styles | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Here are the predictability ratings for each match. The entry for Carmella’s match can be interpreted as follows: "2 out of 6 predictions for Carmella's match were correct, which is a success rate of 33.3%."
- 100.0%: AJ Styles vs Dean Ambrose (6-0)
- 83.3%: The Miz vs Dolph Ziggler (5-1)
- 83.3%: Slater and Rhyno vs Orton and Wyatt (5-1)
- 66.7%: Kalisto vs Baron Corbin (4-2)
- 33.3%: Nikki Bella vs Carmella (2-4)
- 16.7%: Becky Lynch vs Alexa Bliss (1-5)
These numbers add up to 23 correct predictions and 13 incorrect predictions, which means the predictability rating for TLC 2016 is 63.9%. This raises the overall predictability rating for 2016 WWE PPVs from 60.6% up to 60.7% (396 correct versus 256 incorrect predictions). For comparison's sake, the overall predictability rating for 2015 WWE PPVs was 63.4%.
Here are the individual results for each staff member who offered predictions:
- 83.3%: Geno Mrosko (5-1)
- 83.3%: Kyle Decker (5-1)
- 66.7%: Cain A. Knight (4-2)
- 66.7%: CSS Match Preview Polls (4-2)
- 50.0%: ReverendKain (3-3)
- 33.3%: Sean Rueter (2-4)
The staff of Cageside Seats did pretty well with predicting the winners at TLC 2016. How did you fare, Cagesiders?