With the proliferation of online sports books offering betting lines on various WWE PPV's, I decided to start posting a "Betting Guide" FanPost for each WWE pay-per-view (PPV) event.
These lines due tend to be a bit "spoiler-ish" so, you are forewarned...
As a betting primer (for those not in the know) this is how lines will work:
- If Wrestler 'X' is -150 this means he is the favorite:Thus, you would have to wager $150 to profit $100. So, let's say you go to Vegas, and say, "I want $150 on Wrestler 'X'". If Wrestler 'X' wins, you will get $250 back ($150 bet + $100 profit).
- If Wrestler 'Y' is +130 this means he is the underdog. You would thus have to wager $100 to profit $130. If Wrestler 'Y' wins, you will get back $230 ($100 bet + $130 profit). However, Vegas does not offer lines on WWE, because it is fake and staged.
Also, these lines change drastically by the hour sometimes. It's crazy to watch sometimes. But it does tend to lend itself to provide spoilers. However, upsets do happen. The Rhode Scholars were huge favorites over Team Hell No at the Royal Rumble but Team Hell No won.
One more note: 5dimes.eu offers two wagers on wrestling events, the "Initial Ruling" and the "End of Broadcast Ruling". This is pretty self-explanatory.
For example: At the 2013 Royal Rumble CM Punk won the initial ruling, but The Rock won the End of Broadcast Ruling. For example: The Rock is -4500 to beat CM Punk for the initial ruling, but -7500 to beat CM Punk for the end of broadcast ruling. I will only be referencing the "End of Broadcast Ruling", as it is most important. However, I will mention line differences when it seems necessary.
All lines are courtesy of 5dimes.eu. These lines are as of Saturday, February 16, 2013 at 11:00 AM CT-USA.
- Antonio Cesaro (-120) vs. The Miz (-120) for the US Title:
In the year that I have been following wrestling lines, I have never seen a straight-up even match-up. Fans and the betting community are at a 50/50 split on who will win. For one, Cesaro has had a nice US Title run and has gained solid heat. But The Miz is coming out with a movie soon, and gold on him would help push the movie (or so that is WWE logic).
I have no clue who will win. And since there is no underdog to make a little money with here, personally, I will abstain from betting. But gun-to-head, I would take the Miz just because the brass seems to like him.
- Kaitlyn (-600) vs. Tamina Snuka (+400) for the Divas Championship:
The Divas division is garbage. Everyone would tell you that. So, I'll keep it short and sweet. Kaitlyn is a new champ. She is easy on the eyes. She's decent in the ring. Kaitlyn will win.
$100 to win $16.66 on Kaitlyn
- The Shield (+600) vs. Cena/Ryback/Sheamus (-1200):
Nothing is confirmed yet on whether or not this will take place in the Chamber, but I don't think that will really matter when determining the winner. Since, WrestleMania 29 is a little over a month away, logic dictates you have John Cena (who will be headlining WrestleMania) the winner.
However, The Shield is hot right now, and WWE needs to get some more young blood (especially heels) over in a big way. What bigger way to get a heel stable over than having them beat three of your biggest babyfaces? Plus, you're getting great odds at +600 on Ambrose, Reigns, and Rollins.
$20 to win $120 on The Shield
- Elimination Chamber Match #1 Contender for World Heavyweight Championship: Chris Jericho (+1000) vs. Mark Henry (+1300) vs. Daniel Bryan (+6000) vs. Kane (+6000) vs. Randy Orton (+1600) vs. Jack Swagger (-750):
This is where these betting lines can provide spoilers. Swagger is a HUGE favorite. But I'm not sold on WWE giving him a top spot on the WrestleMania card, whether it's against Del Rio, Ziggler, Big Show, or whoever. Obviously, Team Hell No won't win, since, well... but, when you have a monster heel in Mark Henry involved, and the people's favorite in Randy Orton, practically anything can happen.
This is where a very fun bet comes in to play: Field vs. Jack Swagger @ +450. So, you get Jericho, Henry, Bryan, Kane, and Orton. I think this is a great bet. Swagger has been around for two weeks, I just cannot see him winning yet. And I actually think Mark Henry wins, because you need a heel to face Del Rio at WrestleMania. And right now, Henry is one of the hottest heels in the business.
$50 to win $225 on The Field over Jack Swagger
$10 to win $130 on Mark Henry
- Alberto Del Rio (-6000) vs. Big Show (+2000) for the World Heavyweight Championship:
This seems to be a pretty straightforward match. Del Rio has been fantastic in many peoples eyes since turning babyface and winning the title on SmackDown over Big Show. That probably will not change after Elimination Chamber. Big Show is as hot as ever right now and continues to do superb heel work. And he doesn't need the title to get over. He's The Big Show.
So, Del Rio is winning this thing, but at -6000 it is not even worth betting. All you get back on a $50 bet is $0.83!
Interestingly enough, there are no lines provided on whether or not Dolph Ziggler will try to cash in his Money in the Bank briefcase after the match.
- The Rock (-7500) vs. CM Punk (+2500) for the WWE Championship:
The Rock just won the title three weeks ago, so they wouldn't have him drop it. Or would they? Punk has no opponent at WrestleMania. Undertaker (his rumored opponent) has had whispers swirling around him that he will not be participating at this year's Mania. The match is "No DQ", meaning The Shield, or even Brad Maddox, can interfere -- with NO repercussions. It all sets up so perfectly for Punk.
Plus, you're getting +2500 odds. I think that is too good to pass up, despite the obvious fact that The Rock vs John Cena will be headlining WrestleMania 29 in New Jersey. But who cares?
$25 to win $625 on CM Punk
Total Wagered: $205
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