Despite the fact that there has been very little promotion for this card, which speaks to the biggest issue Strikeforce currently has, it will be going down tonight on Showtime. A solid main event is supplemented by a few very interesting fights. In we go with the predictions.
Nick Diaz vs K.J. Noons - The fact that Strikeforce took almost a full three years to make this rematch is mind boggling. For quite a while, everyone was asking for it. Once enough time went by, like with anything in life, interest dropped due to short attention spans and fans moved on to different things. Now Strikeforce is trying to revisit the issue and capitalize on the controversial nature of the first fight. As any good promoter would know, you do that as quick as you can, not three years later. So the buzz for this fight is nearly non-existant. Nonetheless, it's an intriguing matchup. Noons with his slow and methodical power punching approach vs Diaz with his pittar patter heavy volume striking. The first fight was stopped due to cuts but Noons was winning before that ever happened. Don't get sucked into the talk of "real hatred" between these two. They both just want to go out and win the fight. Diaz should be able to get it to the mat and do what he does best, despite his reputation as a guy who just wants to stand and trade. I'm looking for a first round end to this one, just not with the means so many are predicting. Diaz via submission round 1.
Sarah Kaufman vs Marloes Coenen - This should actually be a very entertaining and evenly matched fight. That's not something you usually get with the women. There just isn't a big enough talent pool. After complaining of being put on a Challengers card, and not even in the main event, in her last fight, Kaufman is being given a co-main event slot to showcase her talents. It helped that her fight was the biggest hit in the ratings and she ended it with a spectacular powerbomb KO. That's not what we should expect in this fight. In fact, it could be the last time we see Kaufman on this stage again. Coenen is just too big for her and Kaufman should have trouble getting inside. The only thing that would give Kaufman the advantage is if the weight cut really hurts her. Not this time. Coenen via unanimous decision.
Josh Thomson vs Gesias Cavalcante - This is a really big fight for Thompson. A victory and Strikeforce could easily justify setting up the rubber match with champion Gilbert Melendez. Ultimately, I think that's the reason this fight was put together. JZ is a respectable opponent who's run into some issues over the past couple of years. He's had some problems with injuries, no different than Thomson himself, and has fought just 3 times since April of 2008, going 1-2 in that span. He just doesn't look like the killer he used to be. Then again, neither does Thomson, who struggled mightily against Pat Healy. Both guys still have plenty to offer, despite being unable to remain healthy. Like I said, I think Strikeforce believes Thomson can win here and I think he's good enough too. Don't be surprised if JZ pulls off the upset though. Thomson via unanimous decision.
Andre Galvao vs Tyron Woodley - A strong wrestler with good submissions against a jiu-jitsu artist who's trying to find his rhythm in the cage. Woodley is an undefeated 6-0 with 5 wins by submission. His wrestling has been a great tool to get the fight to the mat and submit lesser opponents in the past. The issue in this fight is that Galvao has an incredible amount of skill once they go to the floor and it's not usually a good idea to play to your opponents strengths. If Woodley can use his wrestling to keep himself upright, he can take this standing. I could be underestimating Galvao's heart here but I don't think so. The longer the fight lasts the less of a chance he has of winning. Woodley via TKO in round 3.